American Monetary Association

Jason discusses the topic of decentralized finance (defi) and its potential advantages in the cryptocurrency world. He also touches on the issue of the US housing shortage and how it presents opportunities for real estate investors. Additionally, Jason highlights the benefits of joining the “Fire Your Managers” program and announced an upcoming Empowered Investor pro meeting that will host a guest who will present a special “tenant insurance” product. Finally, he invites everyone to join their community to grow their real estate portfolio.

Jason then interviews Professor Campbell R. Harvey from Duke University’s Fuqua School of Business and the author of DeFi and the Future of Finance as they talk about the yield curve and Decentralized Finance. Harvey discusses the phenomenon of an inverted yield curve, which has predicted every recession for the last several decades. Harvey expressed his concern about the current inverted yield curve, which has been in place for 12 months, traditionally leading to a recession. Jason and Campbell also discuss the significance of an inverted yield curve and the potential of decentralized finance (defi) in the financial world. They identified problems with the current financial system and the possibility of solutions through DeFi, such as the need for an alternative to the SWIFT system for wire transfers and the ability to store and use value in transactions. With the advent of WEB 3.0 and the decentralization of monetary assets, DeFi is truly set to revolutionize the world in all economic aspects especially finance.

 

 


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Jason welcomes Selma Hepp, the Chief Economist of Core Logic. They discuss the challenging state of the real estate market and noted that the market was facing issues due to rising mortgage rates, which led to a decline in transactions and mortgage refinances. Additionally, she highlighted that existing homeowners were benefiting from this situation due to their low mortgage rates and increasing equity. Selma also pointed out that the volume of home sales was down by 18% last year and was expected to decline by a similar amount this year, while mortgage origins were likely to be down by 30-35%. She also mentioned that the inventory of available homes for sale was at its lowest level historically, a quarter of where it was before the great recession. Despite this challenging market, Selma didn’t expect much change until the spring of next year.

 

 


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Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/

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CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning:
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Jason welcomes Gretchen Morgenson as they discuss how private equity’s surge into single-family homes is reshaping urban landscapes and pricing out regular investors and first-time home buyers. They highlight concerns about these firms prioritizing profit over property maintenance, creating a semi-monopoly in the market. The impact stems from massive capital injections, largely sourced from public pension funds seeking high returns. Private equity’s historical roots in leveraged buyouts are discussed, noting the industry’s evolution and its current reliance on institutional investors. The conversation touches on rising interest rates affecting the real estate model and potential challenges for private equity firms. In closing, Gretchen warns individual investors of the industry’s growing interest in their capital.

 


Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN
Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI
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Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/

Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/

Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund

CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning:
http://JasonHartman.com/Protect

Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals

Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
https://JasonHartman.com/Ron

Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
https://www.PandemicInvesting.com


Jason discusses the state of the economy, focusing on the role of the Federal Reserve and potential supply chain issues. He also shared his opinion on the strength of the US dollar and Argentina’s decision to adopt it. Towards the end, Jason addressed the issue of inflation and its steady fall since June of the previous year. He also discussed changes in active inventory across various local real estate markets, comparing it to 2019, and highlighted the importance of inventory in the real estate market.

Then Jason and Brian Beaulieu, Chief Economist at ITR Economics, talks about the state of the global economy, particularly in China and Europe and the potential for deflation in the real estate market in the early 2030s, the expected trajectory of inflation and the Federal Reserve’s response to it, and the state of the US housing market. They also highlight the resilience of the real estate market, even in a high-interest-rate environment, and the importance of being unleveraged in the United States and in demographically superior states.

#EconomicOutlook #RealEstateInvesting #GlobalEconomicTrends #ChinaEconomicGrowth #DemographicChallenges #Inflation #InterestRates #HousingMarket #Affordability #CulturalShifts

https://www.CalculatedRiskBlog.com/2023/01/housing-january-30th-weekly-update.html

https://ITREconomics.com/

Key Takeaways:

Jason’s editorial

1:29 Defeating inflation, US Dollar hegemony and Argentina

4:30 FED- ready for the next crisis

7:08 Local inventory numbers

10:44 Shadow demand vs. shadow supply

Brian Beaulieu interview

12:21 Income property- getting the middle class wealthy

14:12 Macro view on a global scale

15:38 Chart: China is weakening and will continue to weaken

16:25 Chart: Historic opportunity- India is the most populous country

18:27 Making the case for deflation in the 2030’s

22:21 Chart: This is only round one of inflation going forward

25:36 Capitulation- buyers will eventually accept less

29:46 How it all relates to the rental housing market

 


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Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI
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Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/

Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/

Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund

CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning:
http://JasonHartman.com/Protect

Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals

Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
https://JasonHartman.com/Ron

Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

Direct download: AMA_459__CI_333__CW_2096__8_Edit_DOWN_-_Brian_Beaulieu_ITR_Econ_v1.m4a
Category:general -- posted at: 3:00pm EST

Jason talks about the resilient real estate market as the cost of money decreases and housing affordability improves. With mortgage rates dropping and the promise of increased affordability by the Fed, he anticipates significant price increases in the low-inventory market. Highlighting the 700,000-home deficit compared to normal inventory, Jason emphasizes the simple supply and demand dynamics driving potential price surges.

He also urges viewers to consider the upcoming cruise for a unique learning and networking experience. Overall, the episode provides insights into the current real estate landscape, emphasizing the market's strength and predicting positive trends.

Then Jason interviews Alex J. Pollock from the Mises Institute. The discussion revolves around the unpredictability of financial markets, particularly in contrast to more deterministic fields like astronomy. Pollock argues that economic and financial forecasts, even by prominent figures like central bankers, often prove inaccurate due to the interactive and recursive nature of human ideas, intents, and strategies within these systems. The conversation delves into the challenges of predicting economic and financial futures and emphasizes the significance of relying on self-corrective market properties rather than central authorities.

#RealEstate #Affordability #SupplyAndDemand #MarketTrends #InvestingTips #Economics #FinancialMarkets #CentralBanking

https://empoweredinvestorlive.com/

https://www.AlexJPollock.com/

Key Takeaways:

Jason's editorial

2:04 Total inventory for sale- how the year ended

6:06 Join the cruise https://empoweredinvestorlive.com/

7:25 US SFR Total Available Inventory- Weekly, by Year

Alex J. Pollock's interview

11:02 "Not like reality and math"

14:35 Applying these principles to the housing market

17:04 Housing prices and the International Union for Housing Finance

19:18 Talking bubbles

21:33 Giant inventory housing shortage

24:58 Entry level housing or the New home market

28:12 The great asset and liability

 


Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN
Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI
Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/
Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/

Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/

Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund

CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning:
http://JasonHartman.com/Protect

Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals

Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
https://JasonHartman.com/Ron

Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

Direct download: AMA_459__HS_643__CW_2099__8_EDIT_DOWN_-_Alex_J._Pollock_v1.m4a
Category:general -- posted at: 8:00am EST

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