Sat, 30 December 2023
Today Jason talks about “shadow demand” in the housing market. He emphasizes the impact of demographics, particularly the 25 to 34 age group, where about 16% are still living at home, representing untapped demand. With 11 million potential homebuyers in this category, Jason explores the dynamics of supply and demand, debunking predictions of a looming shadow supply. He also touches on factors like low inventory, the influence of baby boomers staying in their homes, and potential wildcards like geopolitical risks affecting the housing market’s trajectory. Then Jason and Bridger finish their conversation as they delve into the housing market, the economy, and financial trends, noting that millennials and Gen Z are gradually entering it, causing a housing inventory shortage. Despite rising interest rates, the market still faces low inventory levels. The conversation shifts to the potential impact on banks due to an inverted yield curve, bond values, and the housing market’s reliance on new construction. They also explore the possibility of a banking crisis and discuss the Fed’s role in managing interest rates. Jason concludes with insights on the strength of the U.S. dollar, the perceived threat of BRICS nations, and the inevitability of central bank digital currencies, raising concerns about financial freedom. #peterschiff #RobertKiyosaki #ShadowDemand #SupplyAndDemand #RealEstate #HousingMarket #Economy #InterestRates #Banking #USDollar #BRICS #CBDC
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: AMA_461__CW_2087__7_AIPIS_HI_CI_-_Jason_Hartman_INTERVIEWED_by_Bridger_Pennington_Part_2_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 3:00pm EDT |
Sat, 16 December 2023
Jason discusses the impact of mortgage status on the US housing market and wealth distribution, highlighting the growing wealth gap and the formation of two socioeconomic classes due to approximately 40% of US homeowners not having a mortgage. He also touched on the performance of cyclical markets, particularly in luxury markets in Miami, New York, and California, attributing low sales volume to low inventory and high buyer demand. Lastly, he mentioned an upcoming cruise event and a monthly Zoom meeting for empowered investor pro members, in which they’ll be talking about insurance for landlords against tenant damage. Then Bridger Pennington of FundLaunch.com interviews Jason Hartman, renowned real estate expert. They delve into macroeconomics, market trends, and the impact of interest rates on housing affordability. Hartman emphasizes the unique value of today’s low-rate mortgages and challenges predictions of a housing crash. The discussion also covers inflation-induced debt strategies and the current housing inventory shortage. Insightful, forward-looking, and packed with actionable advice for investors, Jason provides a comprehensive understanding of the real estate landscape. #bridgerpennington #RealEstateInsights #HousingMarketDecode #MarketTrendsUnveiled #PropertyInvestmentWisdom #FinancialFreedomJourney #DebunkingRealEstateMyths
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: AMA_460__CW_2086__7_AIPIS_HI_CI_-_Jason_Hartman_INTERVIEWED_by_Bridger_Pennington_Part_1_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 3:00pm EDT |
Thu, 16 November 2023
456: The Coming Perfect Housing Storm, The Dark Side of Airbnb and Short-Term Rentals with Melody Wright
Jason interviewed Melody Wright, a housing analyst and strategist, about the housing market. Melody shared her experience in the mortgage industry and her transition into real estate technology. They discussed her pessimistic outlook on the housing market due to issues like inventory shortage, short-term rental properties, and ‘shadow leverage’. Melody emphasized that she wasn’t predicting a crash but was highlighting the challenges. Melody and Jason also discussed the delay in recording Covid data in Los Angeles County and the importance of triangulating data from multiple sources. They also touched upon the impact of a frozen housing market and the role of short-term rentals in the market. They also discussed the oversaturation of the short-term rental market due to Airbnb’s growth strategy, and the trend of institutional investors pulling back. They concluded the conversation with a discussion on the current state and future prospects of the housing market, including the shift towards rental properties. She also discusses the oversaturation of the real estate market, particularly in the build-for-rent and multi-family sectors. She points out that the boom in building luxury properties and the overpricing of homes have resulted in an oversupply. Many builders have ignored the need for affordable housing, and there might be a need for government intervention to subsidize write-downs on overpriced properties. Wright also highlights the impact of demographic shifts, with fewer babies being born and boomers retiring, and their effects on housing trends.
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: |
Mon, 16 October 2023
Jason welcomes back to the show Joseph Brown of Heresy financial as they discuss the global conflicts, the emotional detachment of Americans from these events, and the potential dangers of policymakers’ decisions. They highlighted the role of profit in perpetuating war and concluded with a cautionary note about the potential for ongoing conflict if war remains profitable. They also discussed the philosophy of ‘packaged commodities’ investment, arguing that investing in real estate with subsidized financing and tax benefits can be more profitable than investing in commodities directly. They noted the potential for increased capital flow and immigration into the US due to economic devastation and war around the world. Additionally, they advised investing in scarce resources, with a preference for those at the end product stage. Joseph expressed his long-standing optimism on residential real estate and predicted that prices would continue to rise. Jason emphasized the need to consider the housing market in a global context, noting that American real estate remains relatively affordable compared to many other countries. They concluded that the key factor in the housing market is the balance between the number of people needing housing and the number of available places to live.
#RealEstateInvestment #GlobalInstability #RealEstateMarket #Inflation #CapitalFlight #USRealEstate #WealthPreservation”
Key Takeaways:
0:29 Extreme profits in a world in chaos
4:53 Pushing the prices of resources higher
8:16 Packaged commodities investing and wealth creation and destruction
11:42 Action steps and the great American real estate market
16:21 Bullish on residential real estate with data to prove it
21:37 Chart on mortgage currently on property
23:58 The 6 year millennial lag and shadow demand
26:09 Stepping into the housing market vs staying out of it
29:13 The Reverse Repo Facility
38:16 The inverted yield curve and the housing market
41:02 The jobs market and the gig economy
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN
Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/
Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund
CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning:
Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals
Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: |
Sun, 1 October 2023
454: Residential & Commercial Real Estate Market Transactional Values, Trends and Challenges with Mike Zlotnik
In this episode, Jason interviews Mike Zlotnik from the Tempo Family of Funds https://tempofunding.com/ to gain insights into the current state of the real estate market. Mike discusses the impact of high-interest rates on commercial and residential properties, particularly in the retail and office space sectors. He mentions that transaction volumes have significantly declined, with some properties being sold at a distress due to the need for immediate sales. However, multi-family apartments and self-storage properties continue to perform relatively well. Mike highlights the challenges faced by value-add projects that were acquired with bridge loans and are now reaching maturity. These assets may need to be sold at a discount if refinancing is not feasible. Additionally, he mentions the difficulty in raising cash for refinancing within syndications, as investors may not be willing to contribute more funds. Despite the challenges, Mike believes that the market may improve if interest rates stabilize or decrease. They also discuss various economic topics, including unemployment, inflation, central planning, entitlements, and the real estate market. They touch upon the impact of technology and artificial intelligence on employment, the shortage of workers in the housing construction sector, and the shift from fix-and-flip properties to new construction properties in the real estate market. They also mention the decline in hard money loan volume for fix-and-flip projects and the need for more distressed properties in order to stimulate the market. While they have different perspectives on how these issues can be resolved, they agree that the current economic situation presents challenges and uncertainties. #realestate #marketupdate #commercialproperty #residentialproperty #transactionvolume #interestrates Key Takeaways: Jason's editorial Jason's editorial
0:27 Greetings from the beautiful Danube river
1:12 Shortage of houses affecting people and areas harder than other
2:53 We have 700 videos on our Main YouTube channel https://www.youtube.com/@JasonHartmanRealEstate/videos
3:22 Itinerary for the next few weeks
Mike Zlotnik interview
5:00 Welcome Mike Zlotnik; an overview of different asset classes
8:10 Transactional volume for office space is down by 75%
9:12 The residential market trend is going down
11:30 Extending or renegotiating deals
14:10 The banks and the creature form Jekyll Island
15:45 Prediction on what the FED is going to do
18:32 Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities, residential market and the overall economy
21:22 Entitlements and a giant shortage of workers especially in the housing sector
23:03 Hard money lending, the build-to-rent model and the shortage of inventory
27:57 Awesome mortgage rates equals non-distressed home sellers
30:42 Home builders are starting at such high prices
32:07 Being opportunistic in this current environment and buying build-to-rent properties
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
|
Fri, 1 September 2023
Jason Welcomes Kerry Lutz of https://www.financialsurvivalnetwork.com/ They briefly talk about Jason's 4 year legal battle to clear his name, big tech censorships, the changing landscape of CBDCs and crypto. They continue talking about the current state of the economy and the financial crisis of 2008, the recent banking debacle and how one can take advantage of situations like these to make a healthy profit.
Key Takeaways: 0:29 A digital lynching like no other 4:20 Alphabet has been engaged in censorship 6:38 Turning the tide on this totalitarian web and treating social media companies as common carriers 10:58 The Great Reset, digital slaves and CBDCs 13:21 The problem with Crypto 15:43 The unreal real economy, recession and inflation 23:59 Timing versus cycle investing in the stock market 30:27 Making money during banking/financial crises
Websites: https://www.financialsurvivalnetwork.com/ email: kl@kerryLutz.com
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: AMA_453__HS_636_CW_-_Kerry_Lutz_Jason_Hartman_7-8-23_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 3:00pm EDT |
Tue, 15 August 2023
452: Apartment Rents Slow Down, Single Family Rent Index, End the FED, Shadow Banking, Central Banking 101, Joseph Wang, The Fed Guy Part 2
Today Jason's finishes his interview with the FED GUY, Joseph Wang as he gives you a peek into some of the inner workings of the Federal Reserve. You can also purchase his book Central Banking 101 HERE. Please note that the views in this book do not necessarily reflect those of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York or the Federal Reserve System. And check out TheCollectiveMastermind.com. We are going to where the FEDERAL RESERVE was created- in Jekyll Island, Georgia; and you are invited! For much more awesome content, visit Jason's YouTube channel today! Key Takeaways: Jason's editorial 1:18 New Year's resolutions and a cruise vacation 4:19 Apartment rent to keep slowing this year 5:37 Chart: National single-family rent index 6:00 Chart: Home price appreciation by tier 10:19 Chart: Year Over Year Active Inventory Markets 12:07 For more information, join the EMPOWERED INVESTOR LIVE Summit. Get your tickets NOW! Joseph Wang interview 13:22 Welcome back the Fed Guy Joseph Wang 14:16 The Fed, commercial banks and the Treasury- how they work together 15:47 When converting treasuries to cash fails 17:48 To END the Fed or not? The Fed as a product of the market forces 18:35 Central Bank Digital Currencies and social credit scores; the FED going beyond their mandate 20:56 Shadow Banking: The Primary Dealer- becoming part of the apparatus that implements monetary policy 22:48 The biggest change happening right now 26:49 The most fundamental change in how the economy is working 28:38 High inflation and high rates at the same time, what gives? 30:00 Is it bad for capital or good for labor; wages versus inflation 32:50 Automation: labor shortage possible solution and the issues that come with it
Quotables: "If the recession is due to supply constraints then cutting rates doesn't actually fix anything." - Joseph Wang "The primary dealers are basically the only people the FED is willing to trade with. So they become part of the apparatus that implements monetary policy." - Joseph Wang
Mentioned:
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: AMA_451__1946_CW_-_The_Fed_Guy_Joseph_Wang_Part_2_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 5:00pm EDT |
Tue, 1 August 2023
Today, Jason touches briefly on the housing inventory market. In this day and age, the government essentially have made building entry-level homes illegal, given the rules and regulations coupled with supply chain and labor issues! Watch more content from Jason on his YouTube Channel today! Central banking is magic. With a few words, the Fed can lift the stock market out of desperation and catapult it towards euphoric highs. With a few keystrokes, the Fed can conjure up trillions of dollars and fund virtually unlimited Federal spending. And with a few poor decisions, the Fed can plunge the entire world into a recession. The Federal Reserve is one of the most powerful institutions in the world, and also one of the most difficult to understand. Joseph Wang spent five years studying the monetary system as a trader on the Desk. From that vantage point, Joseph saw firsthand how the Fed operates and how the financial system really works. His conversation with Jason aims to educate and demystify. He explains how money is created, how the global dollar system is structured, and how it all fits into the broader financial system. But to have a broader feel of his experience as a FED trader, make sure to get his book, Central Banking 101 today. Key Takeaways: Jason’s editorial 2:03 Housing inventory shortage 6:11 “It’s an amazing time to be alive!” 7:39 A tectonic shift- find out more at the Empowered Investor LIVE event Joseph Wang interview 9:12 Welcome back Joseph; is the Fed the biggest investor? 10:14 The FED is not trying to make money; it influences economic conditions 11:27 A little peek behind the “Desk” 13:59 Acting as the eyes and ears of the Fed and having a relationship with big banks 15:16 What don’t we know? accessing and interpreting private data 17:37 The REPO market 19:59 The implications on the REPO market in crisis 22:41 Types of money, money creators and the shadow banks 24:28 Quantitative easing; money printing versus hyperinflation 26:08 Creating loans, creating money 27:28 MMT- correct in theory; dishonest in implementation 30:07 An awesome economic ecosystem 32:33 Before the Reagan Tax Act 33:30 The Fed, commercial banks and the Treasury- how they work together
Mentioned: Central Banking 101 by Joseph Wang
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: AMA_450__1945_CW_-_The_Fed_Guy_Joseph_Wang_Part_1_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 5:00pm EDT |
Sat, 15 July 2023
450: Hybrid Self-Management, Housing Affordability Crisis, Real Home Price Index, Creating Wealth Virtual Event
In this episode, Jason discusses the concept of hybrid self-management for rental properties. He shares his recent experiences with property management issues and emphasizes the benefits of taking control of property management. He highlights the time and cost savings of self-management, improved tenant screening, and reduced repair bill markups. He encourages listeners to consider hybrid self-management as a viable alternative to traditional property management and suggests joining his empowered investor pro program for guidance and support. He also discusses the scarcity of affordable housing in certain markets and the opportunities it presents for landlords. He mentions specific metropolitan areas with a shortage of homes priced below $260,000, such as El Paso, Texas, Boise City, Idaho, Spokane, Washington, Cape Coral and Lakeland, Florida. These markets offer potential for rental property investments as many individuals cannot afford to buy homes. He emphasizes the importance of understanding the three dimensions of real estate and recommends visiting his website for further information. He also touches on population collapse, mortgage rates, and the Real Home Price Index. Join the Creating Wealth Virtual Event on July 21 and 22. Get your tickets today! #HybridSelfManagement #PropertyManagement #RentalProperty #EmpoweredInvestor #affordablehousing #realestateinvestment #rentalproperties #populationcollapse Key takeaways: 1:31 Hybrid Self-Management 8:19 Housing affordability crisis 11:04 Median income earners can only afford 25% of current listings 21:13 Top 5 metropolitan areas with the largest supply shortage of homes 24:53 April 2023 Real House Price Index Highlights 30:40 The complete solution for real estate investors 31:39 US SFR Total Inventory- July 2023 33:30 Creating Wealth Virtual Event- July 21 and 22
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: AMA_450_Hybrid_Self-Management_Housing_Affordability_Crisis_Real_Home_Price_Index_Creating_Wealth_Virtual_Event_v1.m4a
Category:general -- posted at: 12:00pm EDT |
Tue, 4 July 2023
449: The Gloom and Doom Report of Today’s Real Estate and Financial Market, Securing Your Assets in a Tough Market with Marc Faber
The legendary Dr. Marc Faber is with us on the show today again, to talk to us about gloom and doom, and a little bit of boom – the gloom and doom report. We are going to uncover more of the numbers for you today and we’re taking it back to as far as 1977 to give us a better understanding of the current market and what makes it different from the past. Listen now to learn more about the trends in the market from decades ago, what’s currently happening, and what is projected to happen in the next 12-18 months and beyond! Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: AMA_449__CW_192122_JS_AIPIS_-_Marc_Faber_Gloom_Boom__Doom_Report_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 3:00pm EDT |
Tue, 20 June 2023
448: Housing Bubble Myth, Shadow Demand, Lower Existing Home Sales, Increased Mortgage Rates, Outlook for 2023 with Rick Sharga
Today, Jason is joined by Rick Sharga of ATTOM Data Solutions, licensor of the nation’s most comprehensive foreclosure data and parent company to RealtyTrac (www.realtytrac.com), a foreclosure listings and search portal. Is there a looming housing crisis? Not according to the data! Listen in and get the facts minus the misinformation and hype from the YouTube click bait sensationalist ‘chicken littles’! Know the facts and data that will serve as an indicator of trends in the single-family housing investment space across different markets. Note: This interview was done last December 2022. Rick is now with https://cjpatrick.com/ Quotables: “93% of the people in foreclosure have positive equity.” – Jason Hartman “Our data shows that about 6% of homeowners nationally are underwater on their loans. There’s half a percent of homeowners who are in foreclosure.” Rick Sharga Mentioned:
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: AMA_448__CW_1948_CI_AIPIS_HI_-_Rick_Sharga_Part_1__2_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 3:00pm EDT |
Tue, 6 June 2023
447: Demography Affects Real Estate, Income Property – Low Tech Asset Class, Supply Chain & Massive Worldwide Inflation, Neal Bawa
Today Jason welcomes the ‘mad scientist of multifamily’ Neal Bawa of Grocapitus investments. They talk about how demography affects real estate, where the housing market is and where it might be headed and the factors affecting your investments. Neal is a technologist who is universally known in the real estate circles as the Mad Scientist of Multifamily. Besides being one of the most in-demand speakers in commercial real estate, Neal is a data guru, a process freak, and an outsourcing expert. Neal treats his $1+ billion-dollar multifamily portfolio as an ongoing experiment in efficiency and optimization. The Mad Scientist lives by two mantras. His first mantra is that: We can only manage what we can measure. His second mantra is that: Data beats gut feel by a million miles. These mantras and a dozen other disruptive beliefs drive profit for his 800+ investors. Watch the videos HERE and HERE. Mentioned: David Graeber, Debt: The First 5,000 Years Ivy Zelman
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: AMA_447_Demography_Affects_Real_Estate_Income_Property__Low_Tech_Asset_Class_Supply_Chain__Massive_Worldwide_Inflation_Neil_Bawa_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 3:00am EDT |
Sat, 20 May 2023
Greetings still from Ecuador, which is on an elevation of 12,000 feet! Today Jason talks about another bank run and how this puts massive inflationary pressure on the entire economic system. He also talks about how new home sales proves Wall Street was wrong- saying low housing inventory is “fake news” and even how the MLS’ Active listings since 1982 chart confirms this! And Jason interviews Adam LeBor, author of the book “Tower of Basel.” Adam takes us on a journey to uncover the history of the Bank for International Settlements, also known as the Tower of Basel. He explores the power and influence of this mysterious institution, which is said to be the central bank of the world’s central banks. Through interviews with experts and a deep dive into historical events, Adam gives us insight into the inner workings of the bank, its role in the global financial system, the complexities of the international banking system and the forces that shape it.
Key Takeaways: Jason’s editorial 1:28 Greetings from an elevation of 12,000 feet! 2:22 Another bank run! and the massive inflationary pressure in the system 4:33 New home sales proving Wall Street was wrong 6:16 MLS Chart: Active listings since 1982 7:48 Demographics Exhibit 1: US population by age 9:11 Inflation Induced Debt Destruction and the 100% FREE financing opportunities 12:52 Using the Land To Improvement (LTI) ratio, Income property will keep on going strong 15:00 Keep listening to our Flashback Friday episodes and a few announcements Adam LeBor’s interview 16:33 Welcome Adam LeBor 17:25 Distinguishing between the 3 big entities 18:34 Do all bankers participate 19:38 The shadowy history of this secret bank 21:35 The necessity of it’s existence 23:51 Coordinating between central banks 25:52 Flooding the market with cheap money and the psychological effects on society 28:47 Strange History- Hitler’s American Banker 31:49 “Money finds a way.” 33:16 The 30 year rule and their YouTube channel 34:48 The connection between the BIS and the euro 37:04 The European Union and the Euro
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: AMA_446_CW_-_Tower_of_Basel_The_Shadowy_History_of_the_Secret_Bank_that_Runs_the_World_by_Adam_LeBor__v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 12:00pm EDT |
Sat, 6 May 2023
Jason also welcomes Mike Simonsen of Altos Research as they discuss the factors that keep people from selling their homes and how federal and tax policies contribute to the shortage in housing inventory! Moreover, these factors create more upward pressure on rents! For more detailed information on the charts discussed in the show, visit AltosResearch.com. Key Takeaways: 0:28 Introducing Mike Simonsen of Altos Research 1:20 Mike’s macro view and insights on the current housing market 4:20 There will be sellers who won’t be selling above the 5.5% mortgage rate 6:00 Factors that keep a lid on inventory for a long time- including fed and tax policies 10:20 Creating more upward pressure on rents 12:00 Total inventory home for sale – US Single Family 14:15 What is the chart not telling us? 17:32 Buyers have stopped buying especially at the 5% threshold 20:06 Median homes list prices – US Single Family 22:00 Where these pricing data come from and the median price on new listings 23:37 Possibility of larger homes not coming into the market in this time of the year 25:30 Weekly inventory change – US Single Family homes 31:00 Standard of living will give in; people will go down the socio-economic ladder 34:14 San Francisco Inventory: Weekly Single Family 35:09 Percent of homes taking price reductions, single family homes US national 37:48 Application for sellers and buyers; going ahead of the curve in your local market 41:09 Where do we go from here?
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: AMA_445__CW_1912_CW_AIPIS_CI_-_Mike_Simonsen_Altos_Research_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 12:00pm EDT |
Sat, 22 April 2023
Jason Hartman welcomes Eric Basmajian, economic analyst and founder of EPB Macro Research. Jason and Eric discuss the rapid decline in real personal income and standard of living, how the rate shock will filter through to the housing market and much more. Eric also talks about the single most important variable to understand where the next 10 years of the real estate market are going and the four corners of an economy: income, consumption, employment and production. How far do our dollars actually go and how do we measure the standard of living in real terms? Eric looks for inflection points in long term economic cycles, what he calls secular economic trends, and cyclical trends to better position people for what's on the other side. We now have a rate shock being pushed onto the private sector which will cause a lot of problems as it filters through to the housing sector. So if you have no new home sales, or no new construction, and you have no existing home sales, how is that going to impact employment in the construction sector? How is that going to impact hours worked or hourly earnings in the construction sector? And as higher costs are being pushed onto the private sector, whether it's construction, food or gas prices, we're seeing a rapid decline in real personal income. Eric Basmajian is an economic analyst providing research on the most critical secular and cyclical economic trends impacting interest rates and asset prices. Learn about Eric's secular and cyclical framework: https://www.epbmacroresearch.com/ Key Takeaways: 0:00 Welcome Eric Basmajian, founder of EPB Macro Research 1:12 The Fed and increasing rates - did they panic? 5:26 Are we in for a 30 year housing shortage? 8:36 Homes for sale and permits for new construction 10:53 Higher costs pushed onto the private sector 13:35 As private borrowing rates increase, result will be a huge pullback in spending 15:29 Savings rate has come down substantially 16:45 The Consumer Price Index is understated 18:46 Almost no first time buyer market anymore 21:19 Working age demographics around the world 25:45 Secular economic trend predictions for the next 3-5+ years 26:42 Transfer of wealth from baby boomers to millennials 29:33 The single most important variable to understand where the next 10 years of the real estate market are going 33:17 The demand curve is set by those demographics 35:27 Immigration can help the demographic curve 37:05 Four corners of the economy: income, consumption, employment and production 38:43 Increasing talk of recession 41:39 We live in a centrally planned economy 44:18 Learn about Eric's secular and cyclical framework: https://www.epbmacroresearch.com/
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: AMA_444__CW_1894_CW_YW_-_Housing_Crash_Predictions_with_Eric_Bassmijian_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 2:58pm EDT |
Wed, 5 April 2023
443: How the Current Rental Market Is Affecting Real Estate Investors & Where to Go From Here with Steven Thomas
On this episode, Jason brings on Steven Thomas Founder of ReportsOnHousing.com to give his feedback on the current state of the market and how it will affect things moving forward. Utilizing his Quantitative Economics and Decision Sciences background coupled with his years of experience in the real estate field as a REALTOR®, broker, and executive of a multi-office real estate franchise, Steven Thomas delivers a report that captures the true essence of the current real estate market. Most economic housing reports analyze and discuss closed sales data, a look at the market through the rearview mirror. Closed sales are a reflection of pending sales that are put together 30 to 60-days prior to the closing. Reports on Housing’s report is a close look at supply and demand, the current listing inventory, current pending sale activity, and the expected market time for homes placed onto the market today. It is more of a current real estate market dashboard than a look in the rearview mirror. Key Takeaways: 0:00 Who is Steven Thomas? 1:00 Why are people hesitating to let go of their properties? 3:20 Have we ever been in a market like we have today? 4:20 How long will the impact of inflation affect the market? 9:30 Will mobile mortgages be implemented soon? 10:40 What will the CPI be like in the coming years? 13:40 How is inflation affecting society today? 16:00 Why is the model for supply and demand broken? 18:03 What markets are seeing inventory catching up to pre-COVID levels? 19:18 What will happen to wages in this high-inflation economy? 20:40 What should we be expecting to happen in the market? 22:20 What makes the current condition of the market different? 23:30 Why should people focus more on rental properties? 30:50 How can you reach out to Steven?
Links
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: AMA_440__CW_19__CW_CI_AIPIS_-_Steven_Thomas_Chief_Economist_Reports_on_Housing_with_Steven_Thomas_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 12:00pm EDT |
Mon, 20 March 2023
Jason Hartman welcomes Sachin Khajuria, investor and author of the newly released book Two and Twenty: How the Masters of Private Equity Always Win for a fascinating discussion on private equity investing. Private equity was once an investment niche, but many of its leading firms today control an amount of wealth that surpasses the GDP of some nations! You hear a lot of people accusing private equity of underperforming or not creating any value. There is plenty of criticism against this sort of investment, but Sachin would disagree and in his book, he teaches you to identify the best opportunities which do very well. Sachin explores the future of private equity investing, how it has evolved and what can be done to make it more accessible. Key Takeaways: 0:30 Welcome Sachin Khajuria, investor and author of Two and Twenty: How the Masters of Private Equity Always Win 1:45 Sachin’s macroeconomic outlook 3:09 Where continuous money printing has led us 4:08 It was a forced recession 4:57 Zombie companies of the S&P 500 6:30 The Russia Ukraine war continues to disrupt 7:12 Where to invest now? 8:22 Investing in private equity deals 9:40 You are probably already a customer of private equity 11:29 Private equity is highly active investing 13:06 Venture capital typically deals more with startups 13:58 Private equity aims to improve existing assets 15:40 Private equity has evolved into new spaces 16:11 Sachin’s book: Two and Twenty: How the Masters of Private Equity Always Win 19:53 Can regular middle class people invest in these deals? 21:19 Is my money safe? How stable are private equity firms? 23:01 Access to these investments will come with regulation and education
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: 36:56 Get Sachin’s fantastic new book to learn more!
Direct download: AMA_441__CW_1883_CI_-_Two_and_Twenty_How_the_Masters_of_Private_Equity_Always_Win_by_Sachin_Khajuria_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 12:00pm EDT |
Thu, 16 March 2023
441: Housing Inventory Falls, Silicon Valley Bank Collapse, Moral Hazard, Mismanaged Portfolio, Improper Risk Management, Alfonso Peccatiello
Alf is Italian but is coming today from the Netherlands. He and Jason talk about some of the factors that contributed to the collapse of the Silicon Valley Bank, the largest bank failure since the 2008 financial crisis. They discuss the moral hazard involved, mismanaged portfolios and the lack of proper risk management- factors that culminated on the banks demise, making investors question whether this will spark a broader banking meltdown. Key Takeaways: Jason’s editorial 1:21 Hope you enjoyed last episode 2:03 Listen to Jason’s “10 commandments of successful investing”: Thou shalt maintain control! 4:38 Housing inventory keeps falling- where’s the crash? 7:10 Almost 25% of mortgages are 3% or lower 8:19 On to our guest with a deep dive into the current banking crisis Alfonso Peccatiello interview 9:14 Alf, coming from the Netherlands 10:03 3 Bank collapses; a summary of what really happened 13:42 US Banks loan-to-deposit ratios 16:06 Moral Hazard and a mismanaged portfolio 19:16 Big banks hedge interest rate risks- NOT SVB 22:28 Lax regulatory and accounting laws in the US for small banks 23:34 Who benefited from the collapse 24:36 Securities portfolio mix as of December 31, 2022; distinguishing between small and highly regulated banks 29:29 SVB ‘woke’ programs and the lack of proper risk management 30:39 Bank failures 2001 to 2023; are more bank collapses coming 31:56 At risk: the real estate market; unaffordable housing leads to more renters 34:50 Compared to what 37:43 The booming labor market 39:02 Credibility & central banks; Blackstone & KKR, Jerome Powell & Paul Volcker 44:25 There is no distressed home owner 48:10 Institutional investors- what their capital stack or debt structure is like 49:32 Step up your macro game https://www.themacrocompass.com
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: AMA_441__CW_1973_CI_-_Banking_Collapse_Silicon_Valley_Bank_with_Alfonso_Peccatiello_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 1:00pm EDT |
Tue, 14 March 2023
440: Silicon Valley Bank Run, Runaway Inflation, Banking System Collapse, Protect Your Assets, Inflation Induced Debt Destruction
Listen in as Jason explains the debacle that is the Silicon Valley Bank collapse, the ripple effects it’s having in the banking community, the poison pill the FED has placed in the housing market and how it has painted itself in a corner. He also talks about what the government can do, how you can use his patented Inflation Induced Debt Destruction strategy to come out on top in these uncertain times and how you can protect your assets. Just go to https://www.jasonhartman.com/Protect for more details. Key Takeaways: 1:18 Silicon Valley Bank and Bank Run: Margin Call 2:47 Catch the Ron Paul FlashBack Friday episode and thanks to all who attended the Alabama Property Tour 3:11 Fear of Contagion and a taxpayer funded bailout; the tech dot com bubble 7:09 Children in adult bodies and a history of manias 8:28 The SVB crisis explained 10:37 Runaway inflation or banking system collapse, memes 12:45 Signature bank and Silvergate; SVB holdings compared to other banks 20:32 Alf from Twitter 21:25 US bank loan-to-deposit ratios 22:55 While SVB collapsed, top executive pushed “woke” programs 27:16 Memes and more memes; CNBC’s Jim Cramer urged viewers to buy shares of SVB last month 30:41 Bank failures 2001 to 2023 32:17 SVB financial deposits, quarterly net change 33:35 SVB’s insured versus uninsured deposits 34:08 Biggest bank failures and the FDIC 35:01 FREE class: CYA protect your assets, save taxes and estate planning 36:38 The decision to bail out SVB 38:13 What can we do; the 2 year treasury yield and Inflation Induced Debt Destruction Mentioned: https://www.jasonhartman.com/Protect Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: AMA_440_CI__CW_1972_Silicon_Valley_Bank_Run_Runaway_Inflation_Banking_System_Collapse_Protect_Your_Assets_Inflation_Induced_Debt_Destruction_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 1:00pm EDT |
Sun, 5 March 2023
Jason Hartman is joined by Wesley Gray, CEO of Alpha Architect for a fascinating discussion on inflation hedges and future scenarios for commodities and crypto. How should we allocate risk right now? Why is crypto performing so poorly? Are we truly becoming a Banana Republic that does not end well? Jason and Wesley discuss a few things that you should always consider including keeping your tax rates down as much as possible. Fees and taxes are things you can often control, whereas we can’t control what the economy or inflation is going to do. And why is crypto doing so poorly when it should, at least in theory, be the inflation hedge asset? Where’s Michael Saylor? Isn’t Bitcoin digital gold? Without a military behind it, will cryptocurrencies ever be truly viable? Key takeaway: 0:28 Welcome Wesley Gray, CEO & Co-CIO, Alpha Architect – Empowering investors through education 1:31 How do we allocate risk? 3:17 What assets should you be owning right now? Stocks, commodities? 6:24 Controlling your tax rates 7:49 Will we see incredibly high interest rates needed to tame inflation? 8:31 We are becoming a Banana Republic and it won’t end well 10:05 Alpha Architect investment philosophies 11:38 Following trends in crypto, bonds & stocks 13:19 Why is crypto doing so poorly right now? 15:00 Ponzi schemes backed by military 16:07 The ability to inflict violence is what makes the world run 16:50 Freedom in Iraq vs Freedom in the US 18:03 Learn more and check out Wesley’s blog at AlphaArchitect.com and follow on Twitter! @alphaarchitect Wesley R. Gray, Ph.D. CEO & Co-CIO, Alpha Architect After serving as a Captain in the United States Marine Corps, Dr. Gray earned an MBA and a PhD in finance from the University of Chicago where he studied under Nobel Prize Winner Eugene Fama. Next, Wes took an academic job in his wife’s hometown of Philadelphia and worked as a finance professor at Drexel University. Dr. Gray’s interest in bridging the research gap between academia and industry led him to found Alpha Architect, an asset management firm dedicated to an impact mission of empowering investors through education. Wes has published multiple academic papers and four books, including Embedded (Naval Institute Press, 2009), Quantitative Value (Wiley, 2012), DIY Financial Advisor (Wiley, 2015), and Quantitative Momentum (Wiley, 2016). Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
Direct download: AMA_439__CW_1906__HI_CW_-_Wesley_Gray_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 12:00pm EDT |