American Monetary Association (general)

Today, Jason touches briefly on the housing inventory market. In this day and age, the government essentially have made building entry-level homes illegal, given the rules and regulations coupled with supply chain and labor issues!

Watch more content from Jason on his YouTube Channel today!

Central banking is magic. With a few words, the Fed can lift the stock market out of desperation and catapult it towards euphoric highs. With a few keystrokes, the Fed can conjure up trillions of dollars and fund virtually unlimited Federal spending. And with a few poor decisions, the Fed can plunge the entire world into a recession. The Federal Reserve is one of the most powerful institutions in the world, and also one of the most difficult to understand.

Joseph Wang spent five years studying the monetary system as a trader on the Desk. From that vantage point, Joseph saw firsthand how the Fed operates and how the financial system really works. His conversation with Jason aims to educate and demystify. He explains how money is created, how the global dollar system is structured, and how it all fits into the broader financial system.

But to have a broader feel of his experience as a FED trader, make sure to get his book, Central Banking 101 today.

Key Takeaways:

Jason’s editorial

2:03 Housing inventory shortage

6:11 “It’s an amazing time to be alive!”

7:39 A tectonic shift- find out more at the Empowered Investor LIVE event

Joseph Wang interview

9:12 Welcome back Joseph; is the Fed the biggest investor?

10:14 The FED is not trying to make money; it influences economic conditions

11:27 A little peek behind the “Desk”

13:59 Acting as the eyes and ears of the Fed and having a relationship with big banks

15:16 What don’t we know? accessing and interpreting private data

17:37 The REPO market

19:59 The implications on the REPO market in crisis

22:41 Types of money, money creators and the shadow banks

24:28 Quantitative easing; money printing versus hyperinflation

26:08 Creating loans, creating money

27:28 MMT- correct in theory; dishonest in implementation

30:07 An awesome economic ecosystem

32:33 Before the Reagan Tax Act

33:30 The Fed, commercial banks and the Treasury- how they work together

 

Mentioned:

Central Banking 101 by Joseph Wang

 


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Direct download: AMA_450__1945_CW_-_The_Fed_Guy_Joseph_Wang_Part_1_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 5:00pm EDT

In this episode, Jason discusses the concept of hybrid self-management for rental properties. He shares his recent experiences with property management issues and emphasizes the benefits of taking control of property management. He highlights the time and cost savings of self-management, improved tenant screening, and reduced repair bill markups. He encourages listeners to consider hybrid self-management as a viable alternative to traditional property management and suggests joining his empowered investor pro program for guidance and support.

He also discusses the scarcity of affordable housing in certain markets and the opportunities it presents for landlords. He mentions specific metropolitan areas with a shortage of homes priced below $260,000, such as El Paso, Texas, Boise City, Idaho, Spokane, Washington, Cape Coral and Lakeland, Florida. These markets offer potential for rental property investments as many individuals cannot afford to buy homes. He emphasizes the importance of understanding the three dimensions of real estate and recommends visiting his website for further information. He also touches on population collapse, mortgage rates, and the Real Home Price Index.

Join the Creating Wealth Virtual Event on July 21 and 22. Get your tickets today!

#HybridSelfManagement #PropertyManagement #RentalProperty #EmpoweredInvestor #affordablehousing #realestateinvestment #rentalproperties #populationcollapse

Key takeaways:

1:31 Hybrid Self-Management

8:19 Housing affordability crisis

11:04 Median income earners can only afford 25% of current listings

21:13 Top 5 metropolitan areas with the largest supply shortage of homes

24:53 April 2023 Real House Price Index Highlights

30:40 The complete solution for real estate investors

31:39 US SFR Total Inventory- July 2023

33:30 Creating Wealth Virtual Event- July 21 and 22

 


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http://JasonHartman.com/Protect

Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals

Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
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Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
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The legendary Dr. Marc Faber is with us on the show today again, to talk to us about gloom and doom, and a little bit of boom – the gloom and doom report. We are going to uncover more of the numbers for you today and we’re taking it back to as far as 1977 to give us a better understanding of the current market and what makes it different from the past.

Listen now to learn more about the trends in the market from decades ago, what’s currently happening, and what is projected to happen in the next 12-18 months and beyond!


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Direct download: AMA_449__CW_192122_JS_AIPIS_-_Marc_Faber_Gloom_Boom__Doom_Report_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 3:00pm EDT

Today, Jason is joined by Rick Sharga of ATTOM Data Solutions, licensor of the nation’s most comprehensive foreclosure data and parent company to RealtyTrac (www.realtytrac.com), a foreclosure listings and search portal.

Is there a looming housing crisis? Not according to the data! Listen in and get the facts minus the misinformation and hype from the YouTube click bait sensationalist ‘chicken littles’!

Know the facts and data that will serve as an indicator of trends  in the single-family housing investment space across different markets. Note: This interview was done last December 2022. Rick is now with https://cjpatrick.com/

Quotables:

“93% of the people in foreclosure have positive equity.” – Jason Hartman

“Our data shows that about 6% of homeowners nationally are underwater on their loans. There’s half a percent of homeowners who are in foreclosure.” Rick Sharga

Mentioned:

Altos Research

 


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Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

 

Direct download: AMA_448__CW_1948_CI_AIPIS_HI_-_Rick_Sharga_Part_1__2_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 3:00pm EDT

Today Jason welcomes the ‘mad scientist of multifamily’ Neal Bawa of Grocapitus investments. They talk about how demography affects real estate, where the housing market is and where it might be headed and the factors affecting your investments. Neal is a technologist who is universally known in the real estate circles as the Mad Scientist of Multifamily. Besides being one of the most in-demand speakers in commercial real estate, Neal is a data guru, a process freak, and an outsourcing expert.

Neal treats his $1+ billion-dollar multifamily portfolio as an ongoing experiment in efficiency and optimization. The Mad Scientist lives by two mantras. His first mantra is that: We can only manage what we can measure. His second mantra is that: Data beats gut feel by a million miles. These mantras and a dozen other disruptive beliefs drive profit for his 800+ investors.

Watch the videos HERE and HERE.

Mentioned:

David Graeber, Debt: The First 5,000 Years

Ivy Zelman

 


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Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
https://www.PandemicInvesting.com


Greetings still from Ecuador, which is on an elevation of 12,000 feet! Today Jason talks about another bank run and how this puts massive inflationary pressure on the entire economic system. He also talks about how new home sales proves Wall Street was wrong- saying low housing inventory is “fake news” and even how the MLS’ Active listings since 1982 chart confirms this!

And Jason interviews Adam LeBor, author of the book “Tower of Basel.” Adam takes us on a journey to uncover the history of the Bank for International Settlements, also known as the Tower of Basel. He explores the power and influence of this mysterious institution, which is said to be the central bank of the world’s central banks. Through interviews with experts and a deep dive into historical events, Adam gives us insight into the inner workings of the bank, its role in the global financial system, the complexities of the international banking system and the forces that shape it.

 

 

Key Takeaways:

Jason’s editorial

1:28 Greetings from an elevation of 12,000 feet!

2:22 Another bank run! and the massive inflationary pressure in the system

4:33 New home sales proving Wall Street was wrong

6:16 MLS Chart: Active listings since 1982

7:48 Demographics Exhibit 1: US population by age

9:11 Inflation Induced Debt Destruction and the 100% FREE financing opportunities

12:52 Using the Land To Improvement (LTI) ratio, Income property will keep on going strong

15:00 Keep listening to our Flashback Friday episodes and a few announcements

Adam LeBor’s interview

16:33 Welcome Adam LeBor

17:25 Distinguishing between the 3 big entities

18:34 Do all bankers participate

19:38 The shadowy history of this secret bank

21:35 The necessity of it’s existence

23:51 Coordinating between central banks

25:52 Flooding the market with cheap money and the psychological effects on society

28:47 Strange History- Hitler’s American Banker

31:49 “Money finds a way.”

33:16 The 30 year rule and their YouTube channel

34:48 The connection between the BIS and the euro

37:04 The European Union and the Euro

 


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CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning:
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Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals

Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
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Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
https://www.PandemicInvesting.com


Jason also welcomes Mike Simonsen of Altos Research as they discuss the factors that keep people from selling their homes and how federal and tax policies contribute to the shortage in housing inventory! Moreover, these factors create more upward pressure on rents!

For more detailed information on the charts discussed in the show, visit AltosResearch.com.

Key Takeaways:

0:28 Introducing Mike Simonsen of Altos Research

1:20 Mike’s macro view and insights on the current housing market

4:20 There will be sellers who won’t be selling above the 5.5% mortgage rate

6:00 Factors that keep a lid on inventory for a long time- including fed and tax policies 

10:20 Creating more upward pressure on rents

12:00 Total inventory home for sale – US Single Family

14:15 What is the chart not telling us?

17:32 Buyers have stopped buying especially at the 5% threshold

20:06 Median homes list prices – US Single Family

22:00 Where these pricing data come from and the median price on new listings

23:37 Possibility of larger homes not coming into the market in this time of the year

25:30 Weekly inventory change – US Single Family homes

31:00 Standard of living will give in; people will go down the socio-economic ladder

34:14 San Francisco Inventory: Weekly Single Family

35:09 Percent of homes taking price reductions, single family homes US national

37:48 Application for sellers and buyers; going ahead of the curve in your local market

41:09 Where do we go from here?

 


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CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning:
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Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals

Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
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Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

Direct download: AMA_445__CW_1912_CW_AIPIS_CI_-_Mike_Simonsen_Altos_Research_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 12:00pm EDT

Jason Hartman welcomes Eric Basmajian, economic analyst and founder of EPB Macro Research. Jason and Eric discuss the rapid decline in real personal income and standard of living, how the rate shock will filter through to the housing market and much more. Eric also talks about the single most important variable to understand where the next 10 years of the real estate market are going and the four corners of an economy: income, consumption, employment and production.

How far do our dollars actually go and how do we measure the standard of living in real terms? Eric looks for inflection points in long term economic cycles, what he calls secular economic trends, and cyclical trends to better position people for what's on the other side. We now have a rate shock being pushed onto the private sector which will cause a lot of problems as it filters through to the housing sector. So if you have no new home sales, or no new construction, and you have no existing home sales, how is that going to impact employment in the construction sector? How is that going to impact hours worked or hourly earnings in the construction sector? And as higher costs are being pushed onto the private sector, whether it's construction, food or gas prices, we're seeing a rapid decline in real personal income. 

Eric Basmajian is an economic analyst providing research on the most critical secular and cyclical economic trends impacting interest rates and asset prices.

Learn about Eric's secular and cyclical framework: https://www.epbmacroresearch.com/

Key Takeaways:

0:00 Welcome Eric Basmajian, founder of EPB Macro Research

1:12 The Fed and increasing rates - did they panic? 

5:26 Are we in for a 30 year housing shortage? 

8:36 Homes for sale and permits for new construction

10:53 Higher costs pushed onto the private sector

13:35 As private borrowing rates increase, result will be a huge pullback in spending

15:29 Savings rate has come down substantially 

16:45 The Consumer Price Index is understated

18:46 Almost no first time buyer market anymore

21:19 Working age demographics around the world

25:45 Secular economic trend predictions for the next 3-5+ years

26:42 Transfer of wealth from baby boomers to millennials

29:33 The single most important variable to understand where the next 10 years of the real estate market are going

33:17 The demand curve is set by those demographics 

35:27 Immigration can help the demographic curve

37:05 Four corners of the economy: income, consumption, employment and production

38:43 Increasing talk of recession 

41:39 We live in a centrally planned economy

44:18 Learn about Eric's secular and cyclical framework: https://www.epbmacroresearch.com/

 


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CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning:
http://JasonHartman.com/Protect

Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals

Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
https://JasonHartman.com/Ron

Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
https://www.PandemicInvesting.com


On this episode, Jason brings on Steven Thomas Founder of ReportsOnHousing.com to give his feedback on the current state of the market and how it will affect things moving forward.

Utilizing his Quantitative Economics and Decision Sciences background coupled with his years of experience in the real estate field as a REALTOR®, broker, and executive of a multi-office real estate franchise, Steven Thomas delivers a report that captures the true essence of the current real estate market.

Most economic housing reports analyze and discuss closed sales data, a look at the market through the rearview mirror. Closed sales are a reflection of pending sales that are put together 30 to 60-days prior to the closing. Reports on Housing’s report is a close look at supply and demand, the current listing inventory, current pending sale activity, and the expected market time for homes placed onto the market today. It is more of a current real estate market dashboard than a look in the rearview mirror.

Key Takeaways:

0:00 Who is Steven Thomas?

1:00 Why are people hesitating to let go of their properties?

3:20 Have we ever been in a market like we have today?

4:20 How long will the impact of inflation affect the market?

9:30 Will mobile mortgages be implemented soon?

10:40 What will the CPI be like in the coming years?

13:40 How is inflation affecting society today?

16:00 Why is the model for supply and demand broken?

18:03 What markets are seeing inventory catching up to pre-COVID levels?

19:18 What will happen to wages in this high-inflation economy?

20:40 What should we be expecting to happen in the market?

22:20 What makes the current condition of the market different?

23:30 Why should people focus more on rental properties?

30:50 How can you reach out to Steven?

 

Links

https://www.jasonhartman.com

https://reportsonhousing.com/

 


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Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
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Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
https://www.PandemicInvesting.com


Jason Hartman welcomes Sachin Khajuria, investor and author of the newly released book Two and Twenty: How the Masters of Private Equity Always Win for a fascinating discussion on private equity investing. Private equity was once an investment niche, but  many of its leading firms today control an amount of wealth that surpasses the GDP of some nations!

You hear a lot of people accusing private equity of underperforming or not creating any value. There is plenty of criticism against this sort of investment, but Sachin would disagree and in his book, he teaches you to identify the best opportunities which do very well. Sachin explores the future of private equity investing, how it has evolved and what can be done to make it more accessible.

Key Takeaways:

0:30 Welcome Sachin Khajuria, investor and author of Two and Twenty: How the Masters of Private Equity Always Win

1:45 Sachin’s macroeconomic outlook

3:09 Where continuous money printing has led us

4:08 It was a forced recession

4:57 Zombie companies of the S&P 500

6:30 The Russia Ukraine war continues to disrupt

7:12 Where to invest now?

8:22 Investing in private equity deals

9:40 You are probably already a customer of private equity

11:29 Private equity is highly active investing

13:06 Venture capital typically deals more with startups

13:58 Private equity aims to improve existing assets

15:40 Private equity has evolved into new spaces

16:11 Sachin’s book: Two and Twenty: How the Masters of Private Equity Always Win

19:53 Can regular middle class people invest in these deals?

21:19 Is my money safe? How stable are private equity firms?

23:01 Access to these investments will come with regulation and education

 


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CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning:
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Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals

Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
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Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
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36:56 Get Sachin’s fantastic new book to learn more!