American Monetary Association (general)

Jason and Mark Moss delve into the media landscape’s sensationalism and fear-mongering, particularly in financial spaces. Moss criticizes analysts like Harry Dent, noting their linear thinking and failure to account for the changing dynamics post-2008 crisis. Moss predicts continued government intervention to prop up markets, leading to prolonged debt expansion and diminishing returns. Despite concerns over inflation, Moss argues elites benefit from inflationary policies, making it a preferable choice over deflationary collapse. Moss’s insights underscore a nuanced view of economic dynamics and media narratives, emphasizing systemic complexities.

#EconomicAnalysis #FinancialInsights #MarketTrends #MacroEconomics #Inflation #DebtCrisis #CentralBanks #GovernmentPolicy #FinancialStrategy #InvestmentOutlook #AssetAllocation #EconomicForecasting #MarketAnalysis #FinancialEducation #RiskManagement #GlobalEconomy #MonetaryPolicy #QuantitativeEasing #MarketManipulation #AssetPrices

Key Takeaways:

0:00 Is the sky falling?

14:53 The law of diminishing returns

18:52 Crashing down and up

20:24 Maniacal focus on the yield curve

26:16 Nothing moves in a straight line

27:30 Kicking the can down the road by year 2035

29:58 Choose where you want your focus to be

32:00 The first billion dollar solopreneur via Ai

 

 


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Direct download: AMA_471__CW_2117__8_HS_-_Mark_Moss_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 3:00pm EDT

Jason welcomes Stephen M.R. Covey as they discuss his book "The Speed of Trust." In business, cultivating trust is key for successful deals and relationships. The principle of "win-win or no deal" emphasizes fair collaboration, where both parties benefit. Trust fosters enduring relationships, enabling faster, more efficient cooperation. Smart trust involves assessing situations, clarifying expectations, and ensuring accountability. While contracts are necessary, they can't substitute genuine trust. Transparent, open, and fair dealings build reputations that lead to repeat and referral business. Long-term success lies in creating a high-trust culture, where mutual respect and consideration drive not just transactions, but positive, enduring partnerships.

Key Takeaways:

1:24 Welcome, Stephen

2:33 What is trust?

3:57 A tall order- developing trust

7:03 Smart trusting- giving trust without being a 'doormat'

10:07 Trust- AND verify

12:10 Trust in Fortune 1,000 companies

14:46  High trust dividends

19:44 My cynical views and a perpetual downward cycle

24:42 Solutions in building trust

 


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Today Jason welcomes YouTube influencer Kevin Paffrath a.k.a. Meet Kevin. In this interview with Kevin, conducted aboard his private jet, he shares insights on the economy, inflation, and investment strategies. Kevin discusses the aftermath of recent global events like the pandemic and geopolitical tensions, foreseeing prolonged economic effects. He emphasizes the importance of the Federal Reserve’s intervention to prevent joblessness and advocates for a balanced approach in monetary policy. Kevin recommends focusing on asset acquisition, particularly real estate and stocks, and stresses the value of providing more value to employers and communities. He also suggests exploring professional services as a viable business venture for quick growth.

https://www.youtube.com/@MeetKevin


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Direct download: AMA_469__CW_2116__8_HS_-_Meet_Kevin_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 3:00pm EDT

Jason welcomes back guest Martin Armstrong, a renowned economic forecaster. The conversation touches on Armstrong’s background, experiences in the financial industry, and his computer-driven approach to analysis. Armstrong’s economic confidence model predicts a peak on May 7th, signaling a shift towards a recession, civil unrest, and international conflicts into 2028. He emphasizes the significant role of the U.S. as a consumer-based economy and the global demand for American products, asserting that despite challenges, the U.S. dollar remains a strong reserve currency. Armstrong also discusses economic dynamics in Europe, Japan, and China.

Key Takeaways:

0:28 A historic overview by Martin Armstrong and the currencies

5:33 Data driven approach

9:13 Economic Confidence Model

10:04 May 7, 2024: save the date

13:24 The past 10 years and what it means to us now

18:50 The future is… stagflation and Inflation

23:35 CBDCs and big tech

ArmstrongEconomics.com

 


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Direct download: AMA_468__2111__8_CI_CW_HS_-_Martin_Armstrong_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 3:00pm EDT

Discover the fascinating history behind the influential Laffer curve with the renowned economist #ArthurLaffer. This curve played a pivotal role in the Reagan revolution, transforming global economics. Dive into the concept that excess taxation can hinder government revenue, unraveling the counterintuitive nature of economics.

Join the Empowered Investor Cruise for exclusive insights from experts and gain strategies for wealth building. Don't miss the chance to explore this captivating journey and register at https://empoweredinvestorlive.com/

And today's conversation is between Jason and Arthur Laffer which covers a range of topics related to taxation and economics. They begin by discussing Arthur's Laffer curve concept, which explores the relationship between tax rates and tax revenues. They also examine the impact of tax policies on different groups in society and the economy. The discussion then shifted to the effects of tax policies on property markets, using California's Prop 13 as an example. Finally, they discuss the political career of former President Reagan, highlighting his leadership style and adaptability.

 


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Direct download: AMA_467__2107__8_AIPIS_-_Dr._Arthur_Laffer_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 3:00pm EDT

Jason welcomes Mike Maloney. He talks about his book "The Great Gold and Silver Rush of the 20th Century," and presents a chart showing the price of a can of Campbell's soup under the gold standard from 1895 to 2025. Jason also introduced the Hartman Comparison Index and the concept of pricing items in commodities. Mike and Jason discuss the unrealized gains and losses on investment securities, the current state of the stock market, the history of financing and real estate, the concept of hedonic adjustment used by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the cycle of long-term interest rates, corporate bankruptcies, and the economic situation. They also discussed the use of gold as a safe haven asset and the potential for an economic collapse.

https://ggsr21.com/

 


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Direct download: AMA_466__AIPIS_437__CW_2105__8_HS_-_Mike_Maloney_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 3:00pm EDT

Jason welcomes Joshua Simon, founder of Simon Commercial Real Estate, as they discuss the state of commercial real estate. Josh highlights the strength of retail, especially in open-air strip centers and grocery-anchored spaces. Simon emphasized the retail renaissance, citing low vacancy rates and increased demand. Industrial properties faced challenges due to overbuilding, particularly in larger formats. Simon recommended investing in debt instruments or high-yielding retail assets, focusing on quick-service restaurants with strong operators and understanding lease structures. He also noted the value in acquiring vacant spaces from struggling tenants due to the scarcity of real estate.

https://SimonCRE.com/

#CommercialRealEstate #RetailRenaissance #IndustrialProperty #InvestmentStrategy

 


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Jason talks about the importance of understanding the relationship between household real estate value, mortgage debt, and GDP. The presented chart indicates increased equity and decreased mortgage debt as a percentage of GDP, highlighting a more stable housing market. He touches on the benefits of leveraging properties and he analyzes a chart on median sold prices based on bedroom count, revealing significant appreciation in lower-priced properties.

Jason welcomes Len Kiefer, Deputy Chief Economist at Freddie Mac, as they discuss the current state of the real estate market. Despite concerns about rising interest rates, Kiefer highlighted the resilience of the U.S. economy, emphasizing the stability of the housing market throughout 2023. While acknowledging a potential slowdown in consumer spending due to higher rates, Kiefer pointed out that the housing market has seen low transaction volumes and reduced refinance activity, impacting affordability. He also discussed the unique situation of homeowners with ultra-low mortgage rates, estimating the value of their locked-in rates at around $55,000 per borrower. Kiefer predicted a gradual thawing of the market as consumers adapt to the new interest rate environment. He also underscored the importance of considering broader economic factors and demographic trends in understanding the housing market's dynamics.

#RealEstate #HousingMarket #EconomicOutlook #Millennials #HousingMarket #RealEstate #EconomicAnalysis

 


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Direct download: AMA_462__AIPIS_434__CW_2089__7_CI-_Freddie_Mac_Economist_Len_Kiefer_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 3:00pm EDT

Jason discusses the topic of decentralized finance (defi) and its potential advantages in the cryptocurrency world. He also touches on the issue of the US housing shortage and how it presents opportunities for real estate investors. Additionally, Jason highlights the benefits of joining the “Fire Your Managers” program and announced an upcoming Empowered Investor pro meeting that will host a guest who will present a special “tenant insurance” product. Finally, he invites everyone to join their community to grow their real estate portfolio.

Jason then interviews Professor Campbell R. Harvey from Duke University’s Fuqua School of Business and the author of DeFi and the Future of Finance as they talk about the yield curve and Decentralized Finance. Harvey discusses the phenomenon of an inverted yield curve, which has predicted every recession for the last several decades. Harvey expressed his concern about the current inverted yield curve, which has been in place for 12 months, traditionally leading to a recession. Jason and Campbell also discuss the significance of an inverted yield curve and the potential of decentralized finance (defi) in the financial world. They identified problems with the current financial system and the possibility of solutions through DeFi, such as the need for an alternative to the SWIFT system for wire transfers and the ability to store and use value in transactions. With the advent of WEB 3.0 and the decentralization of monetary assets, DeFi is truly set to revolutionize the world in all economic aspects especially finance.

 

 


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Jason welcomes Selma Hepp, the Chief Economist of Core Logic. They discuss the challenging state of the real estate market and noted that the market was facing issues due to rising mortgage rates, which led to a decline in transactions and mortgage refinances. Additionally, she highlighted that existing homeowners were benefiting from this situation due to their low mortgage rates and increasing equity. Selma also pointed out that the volume of home sales was down by 18% last year and was expected to decline by a similar amount this year, while mortgage origins were likely to be down by 30-35%. She also mentioned that the inventory of available homes for sale was at its lowest level historically, a quarter of where it was before the great recession. Despite this challenging market, Selma didn’t expect much change until the spring of next year.

 

 


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